Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Dems: the story so far and what's next!

My personal view on Dems is that Obama has a net gain in Delegates for 4/3. Clinton takes Ohio by single digits, Obama squeaks by in the Texas popular vote due to the caucus votes (dont undermine Texas's caucuses which will end tonight) but wins handily in delegates. Obama gets more than enough delegates in Texas to cancel Clinton's delegate gain in Ohio. Clinton wins in Rhode Island, but Obama dominates in Vermont, effectively canceling out any delegate gains for Clinton.

Clinton stays in the race after March 4, but after two Obama blow-outs in Wyoming on 3/8 and Mississippi on 3/11, along with tidal waves of superdelegates endorsing Obama and pressuring Clinton to bow out (such as Bill Richardson), Clinton will exit the race before the Pennsylvania Primary.

buzz it!

0 comments: